From Risk to Resilience: Assessment and Strategy of Complex Urban System Future Sea-level Rise in Guangzhou
One-Line Summary
Based on the PSR (Pressure-State-Response) model, This research assessed the vulnerability of the built environment and natural systems of inundated areas in Guangzhou, China by the depth of submergence simulation and depth-damage functions.
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Description
Sen lovel rise will lead to the aggravation of various marine and coastal disasters, such as storm surge, loss of tidal shoal wetlands, coastal erosion, salt water invasion. etc., which will bring serious negative impacts on the ecological environment of the coastal zone. The pearl river delta region has long been highly urbanized and economically developed due to its superior geographical traffic conditions und the support of successive policies. However, with the acceleration of global warming and the rapid development of regional economy and urbanization in recent years, the vulnerability of the pearl river delta region has been rapidly increased due to such disasters as rising son level, intensified storm surge and coastal erosion, which will bring huge economic and social losses to the pearl river delta region. The research combines undamaged ratio under 2100 SLR and 200 year Storm surge scenario and adaptivity to identify environmental resilience weakness and classify evolution strategies priority of different urban system,